Odds To Win Election Live
State elections and the Electoral College vote happen at two separate times of the year. Betting lines can be found on both polls through online sportsbooks. Bettors simply need to visit an online internet sports betting site where they will be able to place bets on the outcomes of voting during the 2020 Presidential Election. Electoral votes hold a lot of weight and sports betting sites have listed the USA election odds of each state's results.
Note: We have two options for watching the electoral map populate. The one on this page combines live results with a pre-election forecast. We also have a more dynamic Live Forecast that updates the probabilities for Biden and Trump as states are called. RealClearPolitics - 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Betting Odds.
How to Bet On State Elections
State election odds can be found at internet sports betting platforms. A user only needs to find the political category tab and click on it. Once that’s been done, there will be a list of state election odds as well as other wagers that are related to the 2020 Presidential Election.
Members can pick and choose the states they would like to bet on and which way they believe that state will vote. If interested gamblers are not yet members of such websites, this network will recommend the best sites to join. After a simple sign up process, follow the above instructions to begin legally betting on state elections.
Bettors must go online to bet on politics, as state-regulations generally prevent sportsbooks from offering betting lines on voting matters. Without the structure in place, the only legal place is online sites.
Senate Election Odds
Senate election odds are another sub-category of wagers listed within the political section of a sportsbook. There will be quite a few bets to choose from. Bookmakers come up with the odds by making calculations based on the way of the polls and how they show each party’s progress. Bettors can either choose the best bets using the sports betting site’s choices or if they follow the news themselves or just have a gut feeling, then they can always gamble on the Senate election odds in that way. There is no wrong way to gamble as it will always be called a gamble.
House Election Odds
Just like there are Senate odds, there will be House election odds listed for bets. There is no telling what House wagers will be found on a sportsbook as they all differ just like their odds for each bet. Finding these bets is easy and gambling on them is even easier. If you are a person that thinks politics is boring, put some money on these wagers and watch how much more exciting the subject becomes. Even prop bets can be useful to make some side cash.
Electoral College By State
Each state has a set amount of electors that are given a certain amount of votes. There are 538 votes nationwide for the Electoral College. Some states count more than others just like with regular election voting, because they have more people. One important concept to understand in US elections is the concept of swing states. Swing states are the states that can “swing” an election in a certain candidate’s favor if they win them over. They are the states each person in an election is hoping to have in their back pocket both by the public and with the Electoral College vote. This year, important swing states include Pennsylvania, Florida, Arizona, Nevada, Michigan and Wisconsin, with Georgia, Ohio and Texas in contention as well. If a candidate receives 270 Electoral College votes or more they have the majority vote to win the election.
- Electoral College Winner - Alabama
- Donald Trump -10000
- Joe Biden +1400
- Electoral College Winner - Alaska
- Donald Trump -1600
- Joe Biden +700
- Electoral College Winner - Arkansas
- Donald Trump -10000
- Joe Biden +1400
- Electoral College Winner - Arizona
- Joe Biden -120
- Donald Trump -110
- Electoral College Winner - California
- Joe Biden -2900
- Donald Trump +900
- Electoral College Winner - Colorado
- Joe Biden -2000
- Donald Trump +800
- Electoral College Winner - Connecticut
- Joe Biden -4000
- Donald Trump +1000
- Electoral College Winner - Delaware
- Joe Biden -4000
- Donald Trump +1000
- Electoral College Winner - Florida
- Donald Trump -200
- Joe Biden +150
- Electoral College Winner - Georgia
- Donald Trump -190
- Joe Biden +145
- Electoral College Winner - Hawaii
- Joe Biden -4000
- Donald Trump +1000
- Electoral College Winner - Idaho
- Donald Trump -10000
- Joe Biden +1400
- Electoral College Winner - Illinois
- Joe Biden -4000
- Donald Trump +1000
- Electoral College Winner - Indiana
- Donald Trump -2000
- Joe Biden +800
- Electoral College Winner - Iowa
- Donald Trump -350
- Joe Biden +245
- Electoral College Winner - Kansas
- Donald Trump -2900
- Joe Biden +900
- Electoral College Winner - Kentucky
- Donald Trump -6000
- Joe Biden +1200
- Electoral College Winner - Louisiana
- Donald Trump -6600
- Joe Biden +1200
- Electoral College Winner - Maine
- Joe Biden -950
- Donald Trump +525
- Electoral College Winner - Maryland
- Joe Biden -6600
- Donald Trump +1200
- Electoral College Winner - Massachusetts
- Joe Biden -5000
- Donald Trump +1100
- Electoral College Winner - Michigan
- Joe Biden -280
- Donald Trump +205
- Electoral College Winner - Minnesota
- Joe Biden -430
- Donald Trump +290
- Electoral College Winner - Mississippi
- Donald Trump -2500
- Joe Biden +850
- Electoral College Winner - Missouri
- Donald Trump -2900
- Joe Biden +900
- Electoral College Winner - Montana
- Donald Trump -1400
- Joe Biden +650
- Electoral College Winner - Nebraska
- Donald Trump -6000
- Joe Biden +1200
- Electoral College Winner - Nevada
- Joe Biden -450
- Donald Trump +300
- Electoral College Winner - New Hampshire
- Joe Biden -550
- Donald Trump +350
- Electoral College Winner - New Jersey
- Joe Biden -3300
- Donald Trump +950
- Electoral College Winner - New Mexico
- Joe Biden -900
- Donald Trump +500
- Electoral College Winner - New York
- Joe Biden -2500
- Donald Trump +850
- Electoral College Winner - North Carolina
- Donald Trump -145
- Joe Biden +110
- Electoral College Winner - North Dakota
- Donald Trump -10000
- Joe Biden +1400
- Electoral College Winner - Ohio
- Donald Trump -300
- Joe Biden +220
- Electoral College Winner - Oklahoma
- Donald Trump -10000
- Joe Biden +1400
- Electoral College Winner - Oregon
- Joe Biden -2000
- Donald Trump +800
- Electoral College Winner - Pennsylvania
- Joe Biden -180
- Donald Trump +135
- Electoral College Winner - Rhode Island
- Joe Biden -5000
- JDonald Trump +1100
- Electoral College Winner - South Carolina
- Donald Trump -4000
- Joe Biden +1000
- Electoral College Winner - South Dakota
- Donald Trump -6600
- Joe Biden +1200
- Electoral College Winner - Tennessee
- Joe Biden -120
- Donald Trump -110
- Electoral College Winner - Texas
- Donald Trump -430
- Joe Biden +290
- Electoral College Winner - Utah
- Donald Trump -5000
Joe Biden +1100
- Electoral College Winner - Vermont
- Joe Biden -5000
- Donald Trump +1100
- Electoral College Winner - Virginia
- Joe Biden -1900
- Donald Trump +750
- Electoral College Winner - Washington
- Joe Biden -4000
- Donald Trump +1000
- Electoral College Winner - West Virginia
- Donald Trump -10000
- Joe Biden +1400
- Electoral College Winner - Wisconsin
- Joe Biden -290
- Donald Trump +210
- Electoral College Winner - Wyoming
- Donald Trump -10000
- Joe Biden +1400
The latest 2024 presidential election odds show Vice President Kamala Harris as the front-runner over President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump at most European sportsbooks. For instance, Harris is +350 to win in 2024 at Bet365, with Biden at +400 and Trump at +600.
The thinking is that Biden may opt to let Harris take the reigns in the next Presidential election cycle, due to the fact that Biden will be 81-years-old three years from now.
The first deciding events are the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, which usually take place in February. Although the winners of these party-specific races aren’t necessarily shoe-ins for their party’s nominations, the results of these events can impact the odds greatly.
By the time Iowans and New Hampshirites gather to make their decisions, bettors in the United Kingdom and around Europe should have a good idea of who is in the running for the nominations of both parties. Despite all the historic precedent of renominating an incumbent, that isn’t a foregone conclusion for the Democrats in 2024.
Here’s a look at the current US Presidential Election odds at two UK books:
Presidential election odds 2024
Candidate | Bet365 | Betway |
---|---|---|
Kamala Harris | +350 | +400 |
Joe Biden | +400 | +400 |
Donald Trump | +600 | +800 |
Mike Pence | +1400 | +1600 |
Nikki Haley | +1400 | +2000 |
Ivanka Trump | +2500 | +3300 |
AOC | +2500 | +3300 |
Dwayne Johnson | +2800 | +5000 |
Ted Cruz | +3300 | +3300 |
Michelle Obama | +3300 | +3300 |
Tucker Carlson | +3300 | +3300 |
Pete Buttigieg | +4000 | +2800 |
Liz Cheney | +5000 | OTB |
Given the recent historic turnout in Black communities in major cities around the country, Harris makes sense as the front-runner right now. It’s reasonable to assume the leaders in those communities could fire that machine back up in 2024 to get behind her.
The Democrats may want to maximize that momentum by nominating Harris instead of pushing for a second term for Biden. If they do so, that would be a first. So far in US history, no major party has ever opted not to renominate an incumbent when he’s been eligible for reelection.
That’s partially because ousting an incumbent president has proven very difficult in US history. Prior to 2020, it hadn’t happened in nearly 30 years. Here’s the full list of one-term presidents and their tenures in office:
- Donald Trump, 2017-2021
- George H.W. Bush, 1989-1993
- Jimmy Carter, 1977-1981
- Gerald Ford, 1974-77
- Herbert Hoover, 1929-33
- William Howard Taft, 1909-13
- Benjamin Harrison, 1889-93
- Martin Van Buren, 1837-41
- John Quincy Adams, 1825-29
- John Adams, 1797-1801
If the Democrats do nominate Harris in 2024, it will be historic for other reasons, however. No major party has ever nominated an African-American woman for president, for example.
Harris’ nomination could come in the same year as a historic nomination by the other party. The possible scenario has only played out one other time in US history.
Can Donald Trump run again in 2024?
The short answer is yes.
Only Grover Cleveland has served two non-consecutive terms as president in US history, serving his first from 1885-1889 and his second from 1893-1897. Despite the fact that Trump just got the second-most votes for a presidential candidate in US history, there is one big reason why he may have an uphill climb to secure a third nomination from the Republican Party.
In June of 2024, Trump will turn 78 years old. That would make him the oldest major-party presidential candidate in US history, setting him up to be pushing 83 when his potential second term would end.
By a similar measure, Trump also had more people vote for his opponent than any other incumbent in US history. That’s another reason why the GOP may look elsewhere in 2024.
UK books currently favor Mike Pence, Nikki Haley, and Ivanka Trump to be the GOP nominee in 2024. Either Haley or Ivanka Trump would be the first female presidential nominee in the history of the Republican Party. Ivanka Trump would also be the first daughter of a president to receive such a nomination.
Election betting explained
Often times, books will refer to markets on these contests as “futures.” That’s because they will settle the bets months or years into the future.
The lines on this event are called moneylines or straight bets. That means you’re simply picking a winner of the contest, with the margin of victory and other elements irrelevant for these purposes.
Using the 2020 presidential election as an example, UK books liked Trump as a strong contender. They started him out at +100 or “even money” then moved him to -150 throughout the cycle. His odds rounded out at +150.
That means if you put $100 down at first opportunity, you would have doubled your money exactly had he won. When his odds moved to -150, you would have had to wager $150 to make $100 in profit. At +150, you’d get a $150 payout on a wager of $100.
What to monitor: polling data
Polling data is fluid and changes over the course of an election period. In the early stages like now (May 2019), candidates with the most name recognition tend to poll the strongest. That’s why on the Democratic side former VP Joe Biden and 2016 candidate Bernie Sanders were early polling front-runners.
As lower tier candidates who have difficulty fund-raising drop out of the race, and TV debates start crystallizing (or galvanizing) voter opinion, the numbers begin to consolidate around one-to-two front-runners heading into the primaries.
For simplicity purposes, monitor two well-respected polling aggregators:
- Real Clear Politics: Consolidates and links to the most respected polls.
- FiveThirtyEight Polls: Does the same but presents the information in a different way.
Top 2024 US Presidential Contenders
Democrats
In US history, no major party has ever failed to renominate an incumbent for reelection when he’s been eligible for another term. UK books feel that the Democrats will break that tradition in 2024, however, nominating Vice President-Elect Kamala Harris instead. Other frontrunners at these books include NY Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and former South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg.
Republicans
While Donald Trump is the frontrunner at UK books right now, current Vice President Mike Pence is the next top contender. After that, the field contains former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley and Trump’s daughter Ivanka.
2024 Presidential betting tips
Odds To Win Us Election Live
In terms of presidential elections, the candidates who most represent the opposite end of the spectrum ideologically often fare the best. For example, Barack Obama and Donald Trump were about as different as could be.
Odds To Win Election Live Results
That’s usually following a two-term president, however. As 2024 will come at the tail end of Joe Biden’s first term and he may run for reelection as the incumbent, that typical wisdom may prove unreliable.
Watch candidates’ fundraising and polling as the cycle nears. That will be an indicator into which candidates to back at the books.
Can you bet in the US?
Odds To Win Election Live Today
So far, no states have allowed sportsbooks within their borders to take action on the results of any US elections. If that changes to any degree, TheLines will keep you updated on the progress of that movement.